The current regime did not select Robinson. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. There's zero appeal here. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. His value is trending in the wrong direction. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Preseason may help a little. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. The Top Ten. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. . Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow). Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. Finally, Sanders has continued fumbling and dropping passes in camp -- problems that plagued him last season. My, my, how the game has changed. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Yeah, us, too. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. Ryan Hester: If Aaron Rodgers leaves Green Bay, no Green Bay players will see their output exceed their price tag. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. The role we envisioned for Johnson is already in question. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. So what's the concern? But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. James is the more physically gifted player. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Wait until next year. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. There have been personnel changes and a change in offensive coordinator to Matt Canada. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. Perhaps the political and social issues depicted in 'The Grapes of Wrath" were too controversial. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. Its a knock on his offensive line. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Eric Dickerson 8. I am a heretic in that regard. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. . Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. McKissic. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Before McKissic was injured with a concussion in Week 12, which forced him to miss the remainder of the season, Gibson was only getting targeted 2.6 times per game. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Marshall Faulk 7. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. Adrian Peterson 10. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Chris "Beanie" Wells. 1 cornerstone. 1 status. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. O.J. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Emmitt Smith 4. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. 24 Overrated RBs. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. 5. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. Single Jamal Lewis 18. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. 1. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. His fantasy value was bolstered late in the year due to an insane usage rate in the passing game, seeing a whopping 8.6 targets per game when Alex Smith started. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Think about that for a moment. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. 21 RB Sleepers. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. Curtis Martin 11. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Durability is atop the list after missing six games last year. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. The Silence of the Lambs (1991) - Director: Jonathan Demme. The fact is, he never . His current draft price is almost his upside. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team By Paul Ladewski, updated on September 10, 2021 Matt York / AP Photo Don't you just love it that sports media are so quick to hype athletes as the biggest and the best. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Victoria Geary: Sanders has talent and breakaway ability, but he may not garner a large enough workload to be worth his ADP this season. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB33 | Consensus Projections RB31. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. He's more powerful and understands how to work between the tackles. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. Yep. Even the best backs need help, and Harris is less likely to have consistent holes to run through than any of the backs going around him. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. His career YPC was 3.9. most overrated running backs of all time. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season.
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